Avoiding Surprise in an Era of Global Technology Advances - download pdf or read online

By National Research Council, Division on Engineering and Physical Sciences, Committee on Defense Intelligence Agency Technology Forecasts and Reviews

ISBN-10: 0309096057

ISBN-13: 9780309096058

The worldwide unfold of technological know-how and expertise services and the growing to be advertisement entry to complicated applied sciences with attainable army program are growing in all likelihood critical threats to the technological superiority underpinning U.S. army power. Key to facing this case is the power of the U.S. intelligence group so that it will supply sufficient and potent caution of evolving, serious applied sciences. to help in acting this activity, the expertise caution department of the safeguard Intelligence company (DIA) requested the nationwide study Council (NRC) to adopt a learn reading expertise caution concerns. This document offers the 1st a part of that research. It offers an evaluation of severe, evolving applied sciences; postulates methods strength adversaries might disrupt those applied sciences; and gives symptoms for the intelligence neighborhood to figure out if such equipment are lower than improvement. The goal of this document is to set up the root for a long term dating with the know-how caution group to help the exam of know-how caution matters.

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TASK The Technology Warning Division will inevitably have unmet needs for additional information and/ or intelligence relating to the prioritized list of evolving technologies. Although some needs may be met through division-chartered research, others will require the assistance of the broader intelligence community. Copyright © National Academy of Sciences. All rights reserved. html 27 COMMITTEE METHODOLOGY The task step—Establish and assign intelligence-information-collection requirements—involves the dissemination of collection requirements to other IC components and subordinate agencies.

The key to achieving the marriage of “new- and old-economy” technologies is the development of new software-based technologies for the integration of complex systems. The competitor who is more adept at designing, implementing, and operating large, complex, software-based systems will be at a distinct advantage in 21st-century operations that are increasingly dependent on information superiority. , they need to do what is expected and only what is expected). One often hears a somewhat-undeserved comment about the state of current software development (particularly in the context of large, software-based systems): that is, current software is just poor Copyright © National Academy of Sciences.

Html. Last accessed on February 7, 2005. OTI IA (Office of Transnational Issues, Intelligence Analysis). 2001. Global Technology Scenarios Through 2015: America’s Game to Lose. OTI-IA 2001-083. CIA Analytic Report. November. Sherman, Jason. 2005. More cuts to major weapons programs could be on the way in 2005 QDR. Inside the Air Force 16(1): 16-17. Studt, Tim. 2005. R&D’s hot technologies for 2005. Reed Business Information. PUBCODE=014&ACCT=1400000100&ISSUE=0412&RELTYPE=PR&ORIGRELTYPE=CVS&PRODCODE= 00000000&PRODLETT=BZ.

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Avoiding Surprise in an Era of Global Technology Advances by National Research Council, Division on Engineering and Physical Sciences, Committee on Defense Intelligence Agency Technology Forecasts and Reviews

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